Welcome to the website for the El Paso Region Delphi Process! This website has been developed to provide you with information about the Delphi consensus building process. The Delphi Process is the method we will employ to develop the region's socio-economic forecasts. The population and employment forecasts will be used to plan for future transportation needs in the El Paso region.
The El Paso Region Delphi Process is sponsored by the El Paso Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO). Among its other functions, MPOs are responsible for Metropolitan Transportation Plans (MTPs), which identify future transportation needs in the region and program millions of dollars of federal and state funds for the construction and maintenance of the region’s multimodal transportation system. Producing forecasts that depict both the number and the distribution of future population and employment for the region is an important part of preparing these plans.
Forecasting population and employment change in the El Paso region is a challenging exercise. Although no crystal ball exists for creating perfect predictions of the future, the construction of new transportation facilities requires the best predictions possible to serve the region and wisely spend public money. Poor planning, based on inaccurate forecasts, can result in bridges to nowhere; future grid-lock on existing roads; barriers to freight movement; dangerous rail crossings; community assets that cannot be accessed by bicycles and pedestrians; lack of transit opportunities for seniors, mobility impaired persons, and non-auto owners; missed opportunities to address safety and security issues; and a host of other community transportation problems.
For these reasons, it is crucial to garner a firm understanding of newly emerging growth patterns in the El Paso region, and the purpose of the Delphi Process is to use the wisdom and expertise of a broad range of community leaders to identify those emerging growth patterns, to make better predictions for the future needs of the community.